The number of older drivers will grow an estimated two-thirds by 2030. Reflecting
this trend, drivers over 85 years of age increased their use of private automobiles
compared with other modes of transportation by more than 10 percent from 1977 to
1983. The per-mile crash rate for this group is nearly as high as the rate for teenagers;
thus, according to A. James McKnight of the National Public Services Research Institute,
an increase in miles driven by seniors "presents an obvious threat to the safety of the
motoring public." McKnight wrote these words in his introduction to the Transportation
Research Board's Circular Number 429: The Licensing of Older Drivers published in
July 1994.
In September 1993, A. James McKnight chaired a meeting of the Operator
Education and Regulation Committee of the Transportation Research Board. Thirteen
researchers and practitioners addressed this meeting on topics related to the process of
licensing drivers, especially elderly drivers. Each presentation and resulting paper
included sections covering: (1) the nature of a specific concern in the licensing of elderly
drivers, (2) the needs to be addressed by a process designed to alleviate the concern,
and (3) the actions to take in resolving the concern. The authors wrote about three major
processes of driver licensing, and the circular presented the papers in three separate
sections:
- Screening Processes,
- Corrective Processes, and
- Support Processes.
This issue of the TranSafety Reporter summarizes the five papers on screening
processes. The next two issues will include articles on corrective and support processes.
SCREENING PROCESSES
In these articles dealing with assessing the nature and extent of age-related
deficiencies, the authors discussed five screening methods:
- Driving performance,
- Functional capabilities,
- Medical evaluation,
- Vision screening, and
- Use of traffic records.
Screening for Driving Performance by Carmella M. Strano, Moss Rehabilitation
Hospital
As drivers age, visual-perception skills worsen and information processing slows.
Although research has not shown a cause-and-effect relationship between age-related
deteriorations and an increased incidence of automobile crashes, Strano observed that
older drivers show evidence of "poor judgement in making a left-hand turn, drifting within
the traffic lane, and an inability to change behavior in response to an unexpected or
rapidly changing situation." Development of behind-the-wheel tests that elicit these
problem behaviors is needed.
To decide which drivers suffer from conditions that require such testing, licensing
agencies must have referrals from physicians and eye-care specialists. Pennsylvania is
one state that has a "physician's reporting law" requiring physicians to report "disabilities
that may affect driving ability." Some physicians, however, are reluctant to jeopardize
their relationship with a patient by making such a referral, and many elderly drivers do
not want to appear at a driver licensing agency because they fear having to take a
knowledge test in addition to a performance test. Therefore, Strano suggested hospital-
based, behind-the-wheel testing that would be more well-received by medical
professionals and elderly patients.
The author recommended: (1) uniform national reporting requirements for
medical professionals, (2) a study to find how feasible it would be for driver licensing
agencies to contract with rehabilitation specialists for performance testing, and (3)
development of better performance tests with an interim measure of testing all drivers
over a certain age each time they renew their licenses.
Screening of Drivers' Functional Capabilities by Loren Staplin, Ph.D., The Scientex
Corporation
Although the report did not include a citation reflecting the source of the statistics,
Loren Staplin asserted that:
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[e]stimates of the variance in accident involvement accounted for by operator
inattention or information processing deficiency range from 40 up to 70 percent.
In other words, an individual's "functional capability" may be as important a
predictor of accident risk as roadway, traffic, and weather conditions combined
plus performance on other, traditional measures of driver capability such as the
battery of vision tests used in most states.
Appropriate and timely control of a vehicle result from a combination of perceptual,
cognitive, and psychomotor functions. Aging is associated with increasing deficits in
these functions. Elderly drivers, especially in the 75-and-over age group, have difficulty
separating information they need for safe driving from the visual clutter that confronts all
drivers. In addition, slower decision-making skills contribute to increased difficulty
avoiding a collision in a rapidly changing driving situation. Staplin emphasized,
however, that many elderly drivers show skills equivalent to motorists in early middle-
age. Therefore, screening processes are necessary to identify which older drivers are at
higher risk of crashes.
Tests that measure speed of response, ability to judge a safe turning gap in traffic,
and appropriate maneuver decisions within the complex context of driving situations are
only the beginning. Differences in functional capability revealed by these tests must be
correlated with crash records to learn which functional deficiencies are causal in crash
situations. It will take considerable research and public relations to convince the driving
public that licensing agencies should restrict driving privileges based on frequently
unnoticed cognitive difficulties. Revoking or limiting driving privileges results in a loss of
mobility and dignity for elderly drivers, and it is not a move to be made without sufficient
basis.
To develop screening procedures that identify at-risk drivers without
discriminating by age, Staplin recommended: (1) promoting broad awareness of
research on the cause-and-effect relationships between cognitive deficiencies and
crashes, (2) gathering real-time data showing those relationships, (3) validating that data
with crash statistics, (4) standardizing crash reporting to facilitate gathering data, and (5)
developing valid and reliable screening tests for determining functional abilities.
Medical Evaluation by Mary L. Vinsant, M.D., M.P.H., North Carolina, Driver Medical
Evaluation
Citing high crash rates in the rapidly growing elderly driving population, Vinsant
noted that most states do not require physicians to report to licensing agencies
psychomotor, visual, and cognitive deficiencies that may affect driving. Police officers,
family and friends, court representatives, and personnel from agencies that work with the
elderly sometimes refer older drivers to licensing personnel. Frequently, however,
primary care physicians are in the best position to know a driver's medical history and
recognize health problems that might cause driving difficulties. Such problems may
include: impaired hearing and vision, slowed reaction times, heart problems, lung
disease, diabetes, neurologic conditions (e.g., Alzheimer's disease), arthritis, or alcohol
abuse.
Physicians need valid, reliable tools to diagnose functional deficiencies. Maine
and Utah have physicians' guides to help in these diagnoses. When physicians detect
diseases that may impair driving ability, they must also predict whether the condition will
have a negative effect on driving. The likelihood that a seizure will recur, the frequency
and intensity of arthritic flare-ups, or the degree of distraction caused by leg stiffness will
determine the extent of limitation such conditions place on driving. Patients with
dementia are unlikely to be able to decide for themselves how severely impaired their
driving is; the physician will need to make a judgment. Recommendations from
physicians, evaluations by occupational therapists, and advice from the state Medical
Advisory Board combine to help driver licensing agencies make decisions on licensure.
Physicians should not have to make such decisions in isolation. Therefore,
Vinsant named five actions that would help doctors in making recommendations: (1)
research to learn the effect of medical conditions on driving ability, (2) development of
tools to find the extent of impairment at various stages of disease, (3) awareness of
research on driver risk as it relates to disease, (4) access to driving records, and (5)
supplementary information from family members on a patient's medical history.
Vision Screening by David Shinar, Ph.D., Ben Gurion University of the Negev
Visual acuity deteriorates at an earlier age and more quickly than other
perceptual-motor skills, but deterioration is still so gradual that many people are unaware
of the extent of impairment. As driver licensing agencies work to find out the extent of
visual impairment in older drivers, they are reluctant to use time-consuming, expensive
tests, especially since there is little consensus on what tests are best and what level of
visual acuity is good enough for driving. Shinar emphasized that the independence of
driving is important to older citizens--who often stop visiting, shopping, and even going to
church if they cannot drive.
Recognizing that all of us will someday be older drivers seeking the tolerance of
younger motorists, Shinar called for public education on "the actual low frequency of
older driver crashes," the significance of driving mobility to older drivers, and the
effectiveness of seniors' self-limiting behavior in preventing crashes. He suggested older
drivers be educated in ways they can detect their own vision problems and compensate
for driving difficulties caused by those problems. This could be accomplished through a
self-awareness test kit, promoted by organizations whose membership is largely older
people. The same organizations could emphasize the importance of annual or biannual
vision tests for eye diseases that affect driving (e.g., cataracts, glaucoma, etc.).
Shinar suggested research on how visual deficiencies relate to the ability to
perform driving maneuvers and to crash involvement. Research on compensating
behaviors for seniors with visual deficiencies is also important. States should share
information on successful alternate programs for elderly drivers. In addition, each state
should set up a panel to recommend guidelines for departments of motor vehicles to use
in establishing what factors suggest the need for further vision testing, what tests to use,
and what type of restrictions to place on driver licenses. Restrictions might permit drivers
to go no more than a specific distance from home or might limit their driving to certain
speeds, times of day, or road types.
Use of Traffic Records to Identify High Risk Drivers by Carol L. Popkin, M.S.P.H.,
North Carolina Health and Natural Resources Department
Departments of motor vehicles need a cost-effective way to identify high-risk older
drivers. Older drivers are the fastest-growing segment of the population, and their
driving performance varies greatly from driver to driver. Research shows that the crash
rate of older drivers begins to increase about age fifty and experiences a sharp increase
about age seventy. On the other hand, many older drivers do not have impairments that
affect their driving, and others compensate effectively for driving problems they develop.
Routine drivers' tests might identify elderly persons whose driving capabilities are
impaired; however, to save money on retesting, many states are not requiring drivers
with good driving records to retest each time their licenses expire. Thus, it may be as
many as ten years between drivers' tests. Furthermore, when older drivers have to take
driving tests, they generally pick their "best" day to go in, and the results may not reflect
their driving problems. Some states are beginning to use age data combined with crash
statistics to decide what drivers should have shorter times between license
reexaminations.
To find out if crash records are a feasible way to identify high-risk drivers,
researchers need to: (1) determine how available crash records are, (2) find out what
portion of the at-risk population such data will identify, and (3) analyze crash patterns to
see if some types of crashes are better predictors than others of higher crash risk.
Popkin cited M.A. Gebers and R.C. Peck's 1992 study (The Identification of High Risk
Older Drivers Through Age-Mediated Point Systems) that found "older drivers exhibit a
steeper increase in future crash risk at successive prior incident levels, relative to drivers
in general." Based on this research, California, which requires retesting for anyone
involved in a fatal crash or three or more crashes in one year, now requires drivers over
70 to retest if they are involved in two or more crashes in one year.
Popkin recommended further investigation into effective ways to use crash
statistics as part of a program to identify high-risk older drivers. In addition to crash
counts, the details of the crash (roadway condition, time of day, location, fault) are
important. Some crash patterns (e.g., the driver stopped in the middle of the roadway)
may be better predictors of future crashes than others. Given that many older drivers
involved in crashes have never had a crash before and may not have another one during
the following year, crash records will identify only a few high-risk older drivers. However,
using crash statistics may be an important part of a comprehensive program to identify
high-risk older drivers.