The 1994 Update of the Highway Capacity Manual (94HCM) included a new regression-
based method for analyzing ramp-freeway junctions. An alternative to the method
outlined in the 94HCM is the use of a microscopic simulation model such as FRESIM
(FREeway SIMulator), also developed in 1994 by the Federal Highway Administration
(FHWA). A thorough understanding of the benefits and limitations of both methods is
advantageous in freeway analysis. To provide that advantage, the National Cooperative
Highway Research Program (NCHRP) devoted its Report 385 to a discussion of both
methods. NCHRP called their report "Comparison of the 1994 Highway Capacity
Manual's Ramp Analysis Procedures and the FRESIM Model."
The method described in the 94HCM is a regression-based model for ramp-junctions.
Possessing an extensive database, it provides valid results; but like many
regression-based models, it can model only effects present in the database from which it
is developed. The 94HCM model also has limitations for 8-lane freeways. A simulation
model such as FRESIM, however, can compensate for those limitations. FRESIM
models traffic explicitly, using sophisticated mathematical algorithms to model the
complex driving behaviors of each individual vehicle. Nevertheless, FRESIM is not
without limitations, notably its inaccuracy in predicting the merging process. For
widespread use, FRESIM must also become more user-friendly.
One goal of the research documented in Report 385 was to make recommendations that
would provide more consistency between the 94HCM and FRESIM models.
Researchers noted, "In its present form, FRESIM is sufficiently at variance with the
94HCM in predicting operational conditions in the vicinity of ramp junctions to make it
acceptable for use as an alternative for location-specific analyses." They also noted the
94HCM suffers from inconsistency in the variables of its algorithms. However, with
correction and refinement of its problem areas, FRESIM could expand the data and help
refine the algorithms of the 94HCM. As such, FRESIM could be a significant tool in
allowing "a more consistent and thorough calibration of regression models for the
subsequent editions of the Highway Capacity Manual."