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Road Management & Engineering Journal |
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May 1, 1998 TranSafety, Inc. 1-800-777-2338 (U.S. and Canada) (360) 683-6276 Fax: (360) 335-6402 [email protected] |
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Analysis of incidents and crashes occurring along urban arterial roadways suggests
that as many as 15 percent of the crashes occurring along these roadways may have
been, in part, caused by an earlier incident. To conduct the analysis, data covering
reported vehicular crashes, fires, disablements, traffic enforcement, and other incidents
affecting roadways were collected from seven contiguous urban municipalities in the
Northern Chicago, Illinois, metropolitan region. Crashes represented 35 percent of the
incidents; traffic enforcement, 30 percent; and disabled vehicles, 27 percent. Other
events representing the remaining 8 percent. To associate an initial event with a
subsequent crash, any crash that occurred on roadways affected by the primary event,
within the duration of the primary event plus 15 min. and within 1600 m of that event
(based on use of geographic information systems software) was assumed to have been
related. Analysis of 1,796 incidents in the data base identified 97 secondary crashes
related to 81 initial incidents. A random sample of all events in the data base showed
that only 3.6 percent of the crashes instead of 15 percent might be expected to fall
within the required temporal and spatial limits in relation to an earlier event. This
finding suggested that the selected events may not have been random occurrences.
Finally, analysis of the secondary crashes showed that 1 of every 10 may have been
related to an earlier crash; 1 of every 11 to a disabled vehicle, and up to 1 of every 40
to a police stop for a major traffic violation. What must be studied in greater detail is
the degree of relationship between the initial event and the subsequent crash. This
can only be done through better crash reporting, in which officers clearly indicate any
associated events that may have been contributing factors.
